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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+2.96vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.18+2.60vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.90+2.37vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.91+3.38vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93-1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-1.84+3.67vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17+1.37vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.06-0.38vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.10-2.03vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.17-2.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-2.77vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-3.21vs Predicted
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13Auburn University-1.16-1.96vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06+0.10vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-2.56-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Jacksonville University-1.3817.3%1st Place
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4.6University of South Carolina1.1813.4%1st Place
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5.37Eckerd College0.909.2%1st Place
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7.38North Carolina State University0.913.7%1st Place
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3.17University of Miami1.9327.2%1st Place
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9.67University of Florida-1.842.5%1st Place
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8.37Eckerd College-0.173.8%1st Place
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7.62Duke University0.064.0%1st Place
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6.97Rollins College0.105.9%1st Place
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7.25Georgia Institute of Technology0.175.0%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.053.5%1st Place
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8.79Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.8%1st Place
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11.04Auburn University-1.161.2%1st Place
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14.1Georgia Institute of Technology-3.060.2%1st Place
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13.46Embry-Riddle University-2.560.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 17.3% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 27.2% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Goldenberg | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 26.7% | 16.8% | 2.9% |
| Jared Williams | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 23.2% | 61.5% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 40.3% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.