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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology0.17+6.48vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+2.10vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.90+2.24vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05+4.15vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.91+2.07vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.93-2.97vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.18-2.52vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.76vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-1.16+2.10vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-0.17-1.49vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.84-1.34vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.06-4.11vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-3.06+0.99vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.10-6.90vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-2.56-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Georgia Institute of Technology0.175.2%1st Place
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4.1Jacksonville University-1.3817.3%1st Place
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5.24Eckerd College0.9010.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.053.9%1st Place
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7.07North Carolina State University0.914.9%1st Place
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3.03University of Miami1.9328.1%1st Place
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4.48University of South Carolina1.1812.8%1st Place
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8.76Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.6%1st Place
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11.1Auburn University-1.160.9%1st Place
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8.51Eckerd College-0.172.4%1st Place
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9.66University of Florida-1.842.4%1st Place
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7.89Duke University0.064.4%1st Place
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13.99Georgia Institute of Technology-3.060.1%1st Place
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7.1Rollins College0.104.8%1st Place
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13.46Embry-Riddle University-2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodore Goldenberg | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 17.3% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 28.1% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 12.8% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 25.1% | 17.1% | 4.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Marco Distel | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Jared Williams | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 24.2% | 58.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sergio Carli | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 10.3% | 38.9% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.