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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+4.79vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.85+2.82vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+1.97vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+1.63vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+2.96vs Predicted
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6University of Texas2.50+6.04vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.63+1.43vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College4.15-1.27vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.50-0.17vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-5.10vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.92-3.35vs Predicted
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12University of Washington2.81-0.68vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota0.20+3.41vs Predicted
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14University of Miami3.69-6.00vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.14-2.10vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame-0.25+1.00vs Predicted
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17University of Saint Thomas1.26-2.06vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine2.17-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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4.82Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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4.97Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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5.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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7.96Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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12.04University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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8.43Eckerd College3.630.0%1st Place
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6.73SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.83Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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4.9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.65Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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11.32University of Washington2.810.0%1st Place
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16.41University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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12.9Tulane University2.140.0%1st Place
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17.0University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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14.94University of Saint Thomas1.260.0%1st Place
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12.69University of California at Irvine2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barrows | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 11.4% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Meier | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Darrin | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Joe Lund | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 14.9% | 35.9% | 32.7% |
| David Hernandez | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Raff | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| John O'Brien | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 24.6% | 56.4% |
| Medora Sletten | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 26.1% | 22.6% | 8.7% |
| Brian Hoover | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.