← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Karina Bertelsmann 27.0% 22.6% 16.8% 13.7% 9.3% 5.9% 3.2% 1.5%
Lauren Mellinger 14.8% 13.7% 13.7% 15.3% 14.8% 12.2% 9.7% 5.9%
Jason Elliott 11.7% 13.1% 15.5% 13.7% 14.1% 13.9% 11.2% 7.0%
Jamie Weston 11.5% 13.0% 12.5% 14.6% 13.6% 13.2% 13.2% 8.5%
Erik Ardovino 6.3% 5.7% 5.9% 8.1% 11.0% 14.5% 18.9% 29.5%
Catherine Bruce 6.9% 8.6% 8.6% 9.0% 10.1% 14.2% 17.4% 25.2%
taima crean 13.2% 12.7% 15.4% 13.8% 14.0% 12.6% 10.5% 7.8%
Alyssa Lawton 8.7% 10.6% 11.7% 11.9% 13.1% 13.6% 15.8% 14.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.