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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.81+8.20vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+3.19vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+0.23vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.50+10.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.82+8.36vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University2.22+1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.72+6.52vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.32-0.61vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.47-2.45vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.84-1.11vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.54vs Predicted
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12University of Washington2.25-4.27vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-6.27vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.28-2.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine0.90-2.37vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.50-1.67vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.13vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis0.83-5.98vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University1.12-8.13vs Predicted
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21University of Oregon0.46-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.2University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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5.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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3.23Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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14.33California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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13.36University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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7.48Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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13.52University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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8.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.840.0%1st Place
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10.46University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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6.73California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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11.48Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.63University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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14.33California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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12.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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11.87Western Washington University1.120.0%1st Place
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14.05University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 25.6% | 21.9% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Gillum | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.