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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina0.63+2.74vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.22+0.88vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73+0.61vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.87-0.60vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.18-2.17vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.75-0.36vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-1.41-0.45vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-2.36-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74University of South Carolina0.6313.5%1st Place
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2.88The Citadel1.2223.8%1st Place
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3.61Clemson University0.7314.3%1st Place
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3.4Clemson University0.8717.5%1st Place
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2.83University of South Carolina1.1824.8%1st Place
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5.64The Citadel-0.754.2%1st Place
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6.55The Citadel-1.411.5%1st Place
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7.35The Citadel-2.360.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Street | 13.5% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 23.8% | 21.7% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 14.3% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 19.9% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Ian Wurch | 17.5% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| David Manley | 24.8% | 23.2% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 30.7% | 28.4% | 8.2% |
| William Woodward | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 17.7% | 41.1% | 25.0% |
| Walter Prause | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 7.0% | 19.7% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.