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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.87+2.34vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.22+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.18-0.12vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.63-0.21vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.75+0.63vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.73-2.39vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-1.41-0.45vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-2.36-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Clemson University0.8718.3%1st Place
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2.85The Citadel1.2225.4%1st Place
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2.88University of South Carolina1.1824.2%1st Place
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3.79University of South Carolina0.6312.2%1st Place
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5.63The Citadel-0.753.8%1st Place
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3.61Clemson University0.7313.7%1st Place
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6.55The Citadel-1.411.5%1st Place
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7.36The Citadel-2.360.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Wurch | 18.3% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 25.4% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 24.2% | 23.4% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 12.2% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 13.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 31.4% | 27.5% | 8.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 13.7% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| William Woodward | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 17.5% | 44.2% | 23.2% |
| Walter Prause | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 17.9% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.