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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University-0.17+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina0.63+1.64vs Predicted
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3The Citadel1.22-0.38vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.18-1.36vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-1.63vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.75-0.49vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-1.41-0.55vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-2.36-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Clemson University-0.177.8%1st Place
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3.64University of South Carolina0.6312.6%1st Place
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2.62The Citadel1.2228.0%1st Place
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2.64University of South Carolina1.1828.4%1st Place
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3.37Clemson University0.7316.2%1st Place
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5.51The Citadel-0.754.5%1st Place
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6.45The Citadel-1.411.3%1st Place
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7.3The Citadel-2.361.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Bialek | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 23.0% | 21.6% | 9.3% | 1.7% |
| Ian Street | 12.6% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 19.2% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Gregory Walters | 28.0% | 24.8% | 20.6% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 28.4% | 24.3% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.2% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 29.4% | 25.1% | 7.7% |
| William Woodward | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 16.0% | 39.8% | 24.6% |
| Walter Prause | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 19.4% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.