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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.22+1.65vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina0.63+1.50vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.17+1.52vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.73-0.64vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.18-2.31vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.75-0.47vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-1.41-0.59vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-2.36-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65The Citadel1.2227.8%1st Place
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3.5University of South Carolina0.6314.3%1st Place
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4.52Clemson University-0.179.2%1st Place
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3.36Clemson University0.7316.0%1st Place
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2.69University of South Carolina1.1826.5%1st Place
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5.53The Citadel-0.753.7%1st Place
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6.41The Citadel-1.411.8%1st Place
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7.34The Citadel-2.360.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 27.8% | 24.6% | 19.9% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 14.3% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Bialek | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 21.9% | 23.4% | 10.3% | 1.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 16.0% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| David Manley | 26.5% | 24.3% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 30.8% | 23.4% | 8.3% |
| William Woodward | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 41.5% | 22.5% |
| Walter Prause | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 18.6% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.