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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.32+6.22vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+1.25vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.22+4.66vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.25+3.46vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+0.21vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.50+8.08vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.83+5.27vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-2.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.48+0.45vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.12+0.97vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine0.90+0.14vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.84-5.12vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.28-3.50vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.82-3.05vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-4.09vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria0.72-4.54vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.50-4.92vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego1.81-10.97vs Predicted
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21University of Oregon0.46-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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3.25Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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7.66Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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14.08California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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13.27University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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6.85California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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10.45University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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11.97Western Washington University1.120.0%1st Place
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13.14University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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8.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.840.0%1st Place
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11.5Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.95University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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12.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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13.46University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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14.08California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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9.03University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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14.03University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 27.5% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Alison Gillum | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 2.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.