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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.22+1.64vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.18-0.28vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.63-0.52vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.17-0.57vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.75-0.50vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-1.41-0.59vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-2.36-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64The Citadel1.2228.4%1st Place
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3.48Clemson University0.7314.8%1st Place
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2.72University of South Carolina1.1826.7%1st Place
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3.48University of South Carolina0.6315.7%1st Place
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4.43Clemson University-0.177.2%1st Place
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5.5The Citadel-0.754.9%1st Place
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6.41The Citadel-1.411.7%1st Place
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7.33The Citadel-2.360.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 28.4% | 23.6% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 14.8% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| David Manley | 26.7% | 23.5% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 15.7% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Bialek | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 24.7% | 20.2% | 8.6% | 1.4% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 28.9% | 26.2% | 7.7% |
| William Woodward | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 17.8% | 39.7% | 23.2% |
| Walter Prause | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 17.8% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.