← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.02vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii0.99+1.53vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island0.88+0.58vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego0.22+1.25vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+2.94vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.52vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.76+0.30vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-2.61vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-1.99+0.28vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-0.39-3.44vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.02University of California at Los Angeles1.3026.2%1st Place
-
3.53University of Hawaii0.9918.9%1st Place
-
3.58University of Rhode Island0.8817.5%1st Place
-
5.25University of California at San Diego0.227.8%1st Place
-
7.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.952.0%1st Place
-
4.48University of California at Berkeley0.7312.1%1st Place
-
7.3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.762.5%1st Place
-
5.39University of California at Santa Barbara0.066.4%1st Place
-
9.28University of California at San Diego-1.991.0%1st Place
-
6.56Arizona State University-0.394.3%1st Place
-
9.67University of California at Santa Cruz-2.341.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 26.2% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 18.9% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 17.5% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 22.5% | 20.6% | 9.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lekha Sapers | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 4.4% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Dally | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 29.8% | 33.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 2.2% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 22.1% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.