← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.99vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego0.22+3.20vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii0.99+0.58vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.54vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara0.06+0.58vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island0.88-2.41vs Predicted
-
7Arizona State University-0.39-0.57vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34+1.69vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-1.08vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.73vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.76-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.99University of California at Los Angeles1.3025.4%1st Place
-
5.2University of California at San Diego0.229.1%1st Place
-
3.58University of Hawaii0.9919.4%1st Place
-
4.54University of California at Berkeley0.7311.5%1st Place
-
5.58University of California at Santa Barbara0.066.6%1st Place
-
3.59University of Rhode Island0.8817.4%1st Place
-
6.43Arizona State University-0.394.4%1st Place
-
9.69University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.6%1st Place
-
7.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.952.1%1st Place
-
9.27University of California at San Diego-1.990.7%1st Place
-
7.21University of California at Santa Barbara-0.762.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 25.4% | 21.4% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 19.4% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 17.4% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 24.9% | 48.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 9.7% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 28.3% | 34.9% |
| Lekha Sapers | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 20.2% | 12.3% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.