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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.99+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.06+1.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.00vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.76+1.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.22-1.80vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.39-1.43vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.67vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of Hawaii0.9918.3%1st Place
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3.67University of Rhode Island0.8818.2%1st Place
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4.44University of California at Berkeley0.7311.2%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Santa Barbara0.066.5%1st Place
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3.0University of California at Los Angeles1.3026.5%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Santa Barbara-0.763.5%1st Place
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5.2University of California at San Diego0.228.2%1st Place
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6.57Arizona State University-0.394.3%1st Place
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7.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.952.1%1st Place
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9.33University of California at San Diego-1.990.8%1st Place
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9.78University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 18.3% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 18.2% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 26.5% | 21.4% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lekha Sapers | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 5.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 22.1% | 21.3% | 9.2% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 16.1% | 29.7% | 32.8% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 23.8% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.