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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+3.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.76+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+1.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.22-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.09-1.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.73vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-0.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.94-0.53vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.09-0.01vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-1.70vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of California at Berkeley0.7410.6%1st Place
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2.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.7633.5%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Santa Barbara0.5710.4%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.2217.9%1st Place
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3.54University of Hawaii1.0917.0%1st Place
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6.73University of California at San Diego-0.702.8%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.723.3%1st Place
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7.47University of California at San Diego-0.942.1%1st Place
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8.99Arizona State University-2.090.9%1st Place
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8.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.9%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 10.6% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Chan | 33.5% | 24.6% | 18.0% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 10.4% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 17.9% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 17.0% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| tess McMullin | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 13.0% | 3.8% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 31.9% | 21.1% |
| Chloe Schofield | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 23.0% | 24.1% | 9.6% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 16.6% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.