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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay0.50+13.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.81+7.24vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.72+10.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.25+2.71vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.84+2.97vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.70-3.85vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.38-0.74vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.28+2.08vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.47-3.40vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University2.22-3.47vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.31vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.32-5.96vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.48-3.38vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine0.90-2.36vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.50-1.78vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.12-5.11vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.82-4.95vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis0.83-5.93vs Predicted
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21University of Oregon0.46-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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14.22California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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9.24University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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5.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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8.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.840.0%1st Place
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3.15Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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7.26California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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11.08Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.53Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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10.62University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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12.64University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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14.22California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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11.89Western Washington University1.120.0%1st Place
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13.05University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
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13.07University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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14.06University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Stege | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alison Gillum | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 27.6% | 21.4% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.