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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+3.31vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.22+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.76-0.61vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.72+1.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.94+0.37vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.09-4.52vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-0.69vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.09-0.93vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31University of California at Santa Barbara0.579.0%1st Place
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3.34University of California at Santa Barbara1.2217.4%1st Place
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2.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.7635.7%1st Place
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4.08University of California at Berkeley0.7412.9%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.722.6%1st Place
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6.8University of California at San Diego-0.702.2%1st Place
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7.37University of California at San Diego-0.941.7%1st Place
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3.48University of Hawaii1.0916.8%1st Place
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8.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.611.1%1st Place
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9.07Arizona State University-2.090.4%1st Place
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10.12University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| harriet jessup | 9.0% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 17.4% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Chan | 35.7% | 24.8% | 18.2% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 12.9% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 1.6% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 11.3% | 3.5% |
| Morgan Carew | 16.8% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Schofield | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 21.3% | 22.8% | 12.0% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 34.3% | 19.4% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 16.6% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.