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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay0.36+11.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+3.51vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72-0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-0.06vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+1.15vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.10+0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria1.65+0.99vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University1.55+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.40-0.18vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.16+3.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.18-1.22vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.52-3.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.39-4.23vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.61-2.67vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.36-2.55vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.03-2.60vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University-0.99-1.15vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.86-2.39vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis0.42-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.45California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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2.63Stanford University3.720.3%1st Place
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3.94University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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6.15California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Victoria1.650.0%1st Place
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8.23Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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13.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.160.0%1st Place
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9.78University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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11.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
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12.45California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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13.4Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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15.85Northwestern University-0.990.0%1st Place
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15.61University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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12.06University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Macko | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 31.9% | 25.3% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 17.9% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Carle | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mike McCarthy | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 40.7% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 21.6% | 35.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.