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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.22+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+0.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.76-2.54vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.94+1.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.30vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61+0.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-2.30vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.09-1.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.2218.5%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Berkeley0.7412.0%1st Place
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3.51University of Hawaii1.0915.7%1st Place
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4.36University of California at Santa Barbara0.5710.4%1st Place
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2.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.7632.8%1st Place
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7.41University of California at San Diego-0.942.0%1st Place
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6.7University of California at San Diego-0.703.0%1st Place
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8.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.611.4%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Los Angeles-0.722.9%1st Place
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8.98Arizona State University-2.090.9%1st Place
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10.11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Aguirre | 18.5% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 15.7% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Chan | 32.8% | 25.1% | 20.2% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 4.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 14.0% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Chloe Schofield | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 24.4% | 22.3% | 10.6% |
| tess McMullin | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 19.7% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 19.4% | 31.7% | 20.8% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 18.9% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.