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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.76+1.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+2.38vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.22-0.66vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.72+0.70vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.94-0.52vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-0.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97+0.05vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.09-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.7633.9%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Santa Barbara0.579.3%1st Place
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3.54University of Hawaii1.0916.2%1st Place
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3.34University of California at Santa Barbara1.2217.9%1st Place
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4.09University of California at Berkeley0.7411.9%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Los Angeles-0.723.5%1st Place
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6.74University of California at San Diego-0.702.5%1st Place
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7.48University of California at San Diego-0.942.1%1st Place
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8.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.611.1%1st Place
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10.05University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.5%1st Place
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8.9Arizona State University-2.091.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlin Chan | 33.9% | 24.3% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 16.2% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 17.9% | 19.4% | 21.1% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 11.9% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 19.9% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 1.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 4.8% |
| Chloe Schofield | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 22.4% | 24.4% | 10.5% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 62.3% |
| Katherine Pearson | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 31.0% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.