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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+2.35vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+3.79vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+3.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+4.96vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.21vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.03+7.43vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University1.59-0.66vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.71vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.52+1.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+3.69vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.43+0.25vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.74-1.86vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.15+1.45vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.07-1.12vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.68-4.02vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.58+1.07vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+2.83vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.27+1.45vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69-2.02vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.12-5.89vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.58-5.02vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-2.83vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-0.91-5.23vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-4.13vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-1.63-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of Southern California2.7725.8%1st Place
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5.79California Poly Maritime Academy1.9910.4%1st Place
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6.21California Poly Maritime Academy1.8910.5%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Berkeley0.984.7%1st Place
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7.21University of California at Los Angeles1.487.2%1st Place
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13.43California Poly Maritime Academy0.032.3%1st Place
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6.34San Diego State University1.598.4%1st Place
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8.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.0%1st Place
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10.88University of California at San Diego0.523.0%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.6%1st Place
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11.25University of California at Los Angeles0.432.3%1st Place
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10.14Arizona State University0.743.5%1st Place
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14.45University of California at San Diego-0.151.6%1st Place
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12.88University of California at Davis0.072.6%1st Place
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10.98University of California at San Diego0.682.4%1st Place
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17.07University of California at Davis-0.580.9%1st Place
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19.83University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.6%1st Place
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19.45San Diego State University-1.270.5%1st Place
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16.98University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.9%1st Place
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14.11University of California at Irvine-0.122.1%1st Place
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15.98University of California at San Diego-0.581.1%1st Place
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19.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.5%1st Place
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17.77Arizona State University-0.910.9%1st Place
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19.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.430.7%1st Place
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20.5University of California at Davis-1.630.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 25.8% | 20.5% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bedford | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Blake Buckner | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Spector | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Noah Barton | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 15.7% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Amir Tadros | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Karl McCombie | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 12.9% |
| Sean Kenealy | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 17.7% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.