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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+3.12vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.36+10.68vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+3.27vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.10+2.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.18+3.56vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.42+5.15vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.72-5.39vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.52-0.70vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University1.55-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.40-2.10vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria1.65-3.73vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.16-0.16vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.61-2.60vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.36-2.32vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University-0.99-0.16vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.86-1.40vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University0.03-4.49vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles1.39-10.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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12.68California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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6.27California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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5.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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9.56University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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12.15University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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2.61Stanford University3.720.3%1st Place
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8.3University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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8.53Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Victoria1.650.0%1st Place
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12.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.160.0%1st Place
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11.4University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
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12.68California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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15.84Northwestern University-0.990.0%1st Place
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15.6University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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13.51Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.6% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 5.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 34.5% | 23.9% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Carle | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Mike McCarthy | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 40.8% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 22.8% | 34.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.