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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.22+4.19vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.88+1.59vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.99+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.44vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.76+0.22vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-0.09vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.39-2.50vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.69vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19University of California at San Diego0.228.6%1st Place
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3.59University of Rhode Island0.8817.9%1st Place
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3.53University of Hawaii0.9918.8%1st Place
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3.05University of California at Los Angeles1.3025.6%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Berkeley0.7310.4%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Santa Barbara0.067.3%1st Place
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7.22University of California at Santa Barbara-0.762.5%1st Place
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7.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.952.5%1st Place
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6.5Arizona State University-0.394.9%1st Place
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9.31University of California at San Diego-1.990.7%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenja Leonard | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 17.9% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 18.8% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 25.6% | 21.3% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Lekha Sapers | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 13.1% | 4.7% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 21.7% | 19.1% | 10.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 30.6% | 32.9% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 23.6% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.