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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay0.36+11.52vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.10+3.74vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.65+3.90vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04-0.99vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.18+3.63vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.61+3.46vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.55-0.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.46vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.42+1.31vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.40-2.90vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.16-0.18vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay0.36-1.48vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.39-6.35vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California1.52-7.57vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.03-3.57vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University-0.99-2.12vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-0.86-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.52California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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2.69Stanford University3.720.3%1st Place
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6.74University of Washington2.100.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Victoria1.650.0%1st Place
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4.01University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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9.63University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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6.14California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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11.46University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
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8.32Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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5.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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12.31University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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9.1University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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12.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.160.0%1st Place
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12.52California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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13.43Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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15.88Northwestern University-0.990.0%1st Place
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15.44University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Macko | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 29.7% | 26.0% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 19.0% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike McCarthy | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Carle | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 19.0% | 42.7% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 24.6% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.