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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+4.83vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.77+1.33vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+3.34vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+4.79vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University1.59+1.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.48+1.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.68+3.12vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.58+7.10vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.03+3.45vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.43+0.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.52-1.24vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.07+0.17vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69+2.93vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.33vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.58+0.98vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.12-3.08vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.27+1.10vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-5.35vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University0.74-9.98vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-0.91-3.30vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-2.20vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-1.63-2.35vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-4.13vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83California Poly Maritime Academy1.9910.9%1st Place
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3.33University of Southern California2.7725.4%1st Place
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6.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.899.8%1st Place
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8.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.8%1st Place
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6.4San Diego State University1.598.8%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Los Angeles1.487.5%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Berkeley0.985.2%1st Place
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11.12University of California at San Diego0.683.2%1st Place
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16.1University of California at San Diego-0.581.2%1st Place
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13.45California Poly Maritime Academy0.032.1%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Los Angeles0.432.5%1st Place
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10.76University of California at San Diego0.523.1%1st Place
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13.17University of California at Davis0.072.2%1st Place
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16.93University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.7%1st Place
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14.67University of California at San Diego-0.151.4%1st Place
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16.98University of California at Davis-0.580.9%1st Place
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13.92University of California at Irvine-0.122.0%1st Place
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19.1San Diego State University-1.270.5%1st Place
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13.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.5%1st Place
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10.02Arizona State University0.743.1%1st Place
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17.7Arizona State University-0.911.4%1st Place
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19.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.430.3%1st Place
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20.65University of California at Davis-1.630.4%1st Place
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19.87University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.4%1st Place
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19.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Paquin | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 25.4% | 21.5% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Charles Bedford | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Amir Tadros | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% |
| David Spector | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.7% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 24.1% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 17.2% |
| Karl McCombie | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.