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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.65+6.96vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University1.55+6.33vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.06+7.07vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+1.87vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.84+5.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.18+3.50vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.40+1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Washington2.10-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.04-5.26vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.72-7.36vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.42+1.17vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.61-0.20vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.16-0.23vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.39-5.50vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.72-7.48vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University-0.99-0.10vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.86-1.38vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University0.03-4.86vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay0.84-9.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96University of Victoria1.650.0%1st Place
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8.33Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Southern California1.060.0%1st Place
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5.87California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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10.55California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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9.5University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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2.64Stanford University3.720.3%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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11.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
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12.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.160.0%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.0%1st Place
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15.9Northwestern University-0.990.0%1st Place
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15.62University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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13.14Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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10.55California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Cannon | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pravan Chugani | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 6.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 18.9% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 32.3% | 25.6% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Mike McCarthy | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Carle | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 21.8% | 42.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 21.8% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.