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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.65+6.98vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+0.58vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.10+3.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+3.42vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.84+5.57vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-0.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.18+2.47vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.06+1.82vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.39-0.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.40-1.03vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.61+0.57vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University1.55-3.62vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.84-2.43vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii3.04-10.26vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.16-2.30vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.42-3.96vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.03-3.60vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University-0.99-2.11vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-0.86-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98University of Victoria1.650.0%1st Place
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2.58Stanford University3.720.3%1st Place
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6.43University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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7.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
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10.57California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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5.95California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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9.47University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Southern California1.060.0%1st Place
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8.61University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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11.57University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
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8.38Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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10.57California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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3.74University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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12.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.160.0%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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13.4Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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15.89Northwestern University-0.990.0%1st Place
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15.47University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Cannon | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 31.3% | 27.5% | 17.3% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pravan Chugani | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike McCarthy | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 18.6% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Carle | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 21.4% | 43.3% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 25.4% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.