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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.99+2.54vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.22+2.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.88-0.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.44vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.76+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.99+1.27vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34-0.24vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.39-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of Hawaii0.9917.2%1st Place
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3.03University of California at Los Angeles1.3025.9%1st Place
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5.26University of California at San Diego0.228.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Rhode Island0.8818.9%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Berkeley0.7311.2%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Santa Barbara0.067.8%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Santa Barbara-0.762.9%1st Place
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9.27University of California at San Diego-1.990.5%1st Place
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7.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.952.9%1st Place
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9.76University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.5%1st Place
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6.5Arizona State University-0.394.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 17.2% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 25.9% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 18.9% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Lekha Sapers | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 12.5% | 4.4% |
| Jessica Dally | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 27.4% | 34.6% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 9.2% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 24.1% | 49.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.