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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+5.52vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.77+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+4.34vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.59+2.63vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.98+3.00vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.03+6.70vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.52+3.17vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-0.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.58+6.44vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.43+0.78vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.07+1.47vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University0.53-1.82vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.68-2.48vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69+2.30vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-1.88vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University0.74-6.57vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.58-0.59vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.15-4.04vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-0.33vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-0.12-6.21vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-1.76vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-2.74vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-0.91-5.98vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-1.63-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52California Poly Maritime Academy1.898.5%1st Place
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3.35University of Southern California2.7726.4%1st Place
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7.34University of California at Los Angeles1.487.3%1st Place
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6.63San Diego State University1.598.8%1st Place
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6.01California Poly Maritime Academy1.999.7%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Berkeley0.985.1%1st Place
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13.7California Poly Maritime Academy0.032.0%1st Place
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11.17University of California at San Diego0.522.5%1st Place
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8.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.3%1st Place
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16.44University of California at San Diego-0.580.8%1st Place
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11.78University of California at Los Angeles0.432.9%1st Place
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13.47University of California at Davis0.072.5%1st Place
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11.18San Diego State University0.533.1%1st Place
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11.52University of California at San Diego0.682.0%1st Place
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17.3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.691.1%1st Place
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14.12University of California at Los Angeles-0.032.1%1st Place
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10.43Arizona State University0.743.3%1st Place
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17.41University of California at Davis-0.580.9%1st Place
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14.96University of California at San Diego-0.151.3%1st Place
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19.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.7%1st Place
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14.79University of California at Irvine-0.121.6%1st Place
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20.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.430.4%1st Place
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20.26University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.4%1st Place
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18.02Arizona State University-0.910.5%1st Place
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20.81University of California at Davis-1.630.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 26.4% | 20.5% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bedford | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| John Alexander | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marcus Leitner | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| David Spector | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Karl McCombie | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 14.4% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 18.1% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 19.7% |
| Sean Kenealy | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.