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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+5.16vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+0.55vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.18+6.71vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.84+6.54vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+2.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.40+2.71vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.06+2.86vs Predicted
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8University of Washington2.10-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria1.65-1.25vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.16+3.13vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii3.04-7.10vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.39-3.09vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University1.55-4.96vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.61-2.82vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.84-4.46vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.42-3.94vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University-0.99-1.18vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University0.03-4.54vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-0.86-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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2.55Stanford University3.720.3%1st Place
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9.71University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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10.54California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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7.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
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8.71University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Southern California1.060.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Victoria1.650.0%1st Place
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13.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.160.0%1st Place
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3.9University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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8.04Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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11.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
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10.54California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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12.06University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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15.82Northwestern University-0.990.0%1st Place
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13.46Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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15.48University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Doyle | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 31.0% | 28.5% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Pravan Chugani | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 7.5% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Carle | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 19.4% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike McCarthy | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 20.3% | 41.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 24.8% | 32.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.