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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University1.59+5.52vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.77+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.43+8.64vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+5.21vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+1.25vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+0.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.27vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.03+5.90vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.07+4.34vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.12+4.45vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69+6.19vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-3.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.68-1.50vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University0.53-2.65vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.58+1.52vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+3.05vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+2.16vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.50vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-0.52vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-0.91-2.60vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.63-1.23vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-8.79vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University0.74-13.14vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego0.52-13.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52San Diego State University1.599.2%1st Place
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3.37University of Southern California2.7726.6%1st Place
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11.64University of California at Los Angeles0.432.2%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Berkeley0.984.4%1st Place
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6.25California Poly Maritime Academy1.8910.3%1st Place
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6.07California Poly Maritime Academy1.9910.0%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Los Angeles1.487.4%1st Place
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13.9California Poly Maritime Academy0.031.5%1st Place
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13.34University of California at Davis0.072.0%1st Place
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14.45University of California at Irvine-0.121.3%1st Place
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17.19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.691.0%1st Place
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8.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.3%1st Place
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11.5University of California at San Diego0.682.4%1st Place
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11.35San Diego State University0.532.8%1st Place
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14.83University of California at San Diego-0.151.1%1st Place
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17.52University of California at Davis-0.580.8%1st Place
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20.05University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.5%1st Place
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20.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.430.4%1st Place
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16.5University of California at San Diego-0.580.7%1st Place
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19.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.5%1st Place
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18.4Arizona State University-0.910.5%1st Place
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20.77University of California at Davis-1.630.4%1st Place
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14.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.7%1st Place
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10.86Arizona State University0.743.1%1st Place
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11.24University of California at San Diego0.523.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Buckner | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 26.6% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bedford | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Marcus Leitner | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 19.1% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 18.9% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Karl McCombie | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 15.6% |
| Sean Kenealy | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 25.4% |
| David Spector | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Alexander | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.