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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay0.36+11.34vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+4.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.18+6.70vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University1.55+4.12vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.72-2.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.42+5.03vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria1.65-0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.04-5.10vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.36+2.34vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.03+2.47vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.40-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.10-6.35vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.39-5.38vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.61-3.75vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California1.06-7.11vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University-0.99-2.20vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.16-5.96vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.86-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.34California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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6.24California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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9.7University of California at San Diego1.180.0%1st Place
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8.12Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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2.57Stanford University3.720.4%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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12.03University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Victoria1.650.0%1st Place
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3.9University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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12.34California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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13.47Western Washington University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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11.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Southern California1.060.0%1st Place
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15.8Northwestern University-0.990.0%1st Place
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13.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.160.0%1st Place
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15.42University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Macko | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wooldridge | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 36.6% | 23.8% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 15.8% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Macko | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McLaughlin | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike McCarthy | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Pravan Chugani | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 20.6% | 40.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Carle | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 23.1% | 32.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.