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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.99+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.22+3.29vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.39+3.44vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.88-0.37vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.76+1.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.30-5.02vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.34-0.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.99-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of Hawaii0.9919.6%1st Place
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5.29University of California at San Diego0.227.7%1st Place
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6.44Arizona State University-0.394.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Rhode Island0.8817.3%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Berkeley0.7312.1%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Santa Barbara-0.763.1%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Santa Barbara0.067.0%1st Place
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2.98University of California at Los Angeles1.3025.1%1st Place
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7.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.952.4%1st Place
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9.74University of California at Santa Cruz-2.340.3%1st Place
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9.24University of California at San Diego-1.991.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 19.6% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 17.3% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 12.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lekha Sapers | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 4.3% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 25.1% | 23.1% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 21.9% | 8.9% |
| Nina-Katreen Hipkins | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 22.4% | 50.0% |
| Jessica Dally | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 13.2% | 30.0% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.