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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.98+7.91vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+3.76vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+5.59vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.59+2.67vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+1.21vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.03+7.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.52+4.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.12+6.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.48-1.87vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.07+2.77vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.77-7.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.68-0.82vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.74-2.86vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.43-2.75vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69+1.68vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.58+0.97vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.03-3.50vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University0.06-4.68vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.15-4.53vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-0.30vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-1.83vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.66-1.40vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-1.63-2.67vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-4.23vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-1.53-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91University of California at Berkeley0.984.5%1st Place
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5.76California Poly Maritime Academy1.9910.9%1st Place
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8.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.9%1st Place
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6.67San Diego State University1.598.4%1st Place
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6.21California Poly Maritime Academy1.899.0%1st Place
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13.25California Poly Maritime Academy0.032.2%1st Place
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11.04University of California at San Diego0.522.3%1st Place
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14.21University of California at Irvine-0.121.4%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Los Angeles1.488.3%1st Place
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12.77University of California at Davis0.072.5%1st Place
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3.28University of Southern California2.7726.2%1st Place
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11.18University of California at San Diego0.683.5%1st Place
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10.14Arizona State University0.743.9%1st Place
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11.25University of California at Los Angeles0.433.3%1st Place
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16.68University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.9%1st Place
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16.97University of California at Davis-0.581.0%1st Place
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13.5University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.8%1st Place
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13.32San Diego State University0.061.3%1st Place
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14.47University of California at San Diego-0.151.4%1st Place
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19.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.430.4%1st Place
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19.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.6%1st Place
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20.6University of California at San Diego-1.660.5%1st Place
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20.33University of California at Davis-1.630.4%1st Place
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19.77University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.3%1st Place
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20.1Arizona State University-1.530.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cornell | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bedford | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Alexander | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Hou | 26.2% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| David Spector | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Crager | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.8% |
| Karl McCombie | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 20.5% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 17.8% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.