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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+2.29vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.99+3.74vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+3.43vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.59+2.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48+1.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.07+6.98vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.52+3.72vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+2.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.43+2.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.08vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.06+2.32vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69+4.92vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+0.54vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.58+2.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.68-3.80vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.12-1.86vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.15-2.69vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+1.75vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-10.28vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-0.21vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.63-0.44vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-2.85vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.66-2.77vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.53-3.92vs Predicted
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25California Poly Maritime Academy0.03-11.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Southern California2.7724.3%1st Place
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5.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.9911.1%1st Place
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6.43California Poly Maritime Academy1.898.7%1st Place
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6.5San Diego State University1.598.8%1st Place
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6.9University of California at Los Angeles1.487.8%1st Place
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12.98University of California at Davis0.072.1%1st Place
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10.72University of California at San Diego0.523.5%1st Place
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10.28Arizona State University0.744.0%1st Place
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11.39University of California at Los Angeles0.432.8%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Berkeley0.984.7%1st Place
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13.32San Diego State University0.061.8%1st Place
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16.92University of California at Santa Cruz-0.690.5%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.8%1st Place
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16.96University of California at Davis-0.580.9%1st Place
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11.2University of California at San Diego0.683.5%1st Place
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14.14University of California at Irvine-0.122.1%1st Place
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14.31University of California at San Diego-0.151.4%1st Place
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19.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.430.5%1st Place
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8.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.8%1st Place
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19.79University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.4%1st Place
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20.56University of California at Davis-1.630.2%1st Place
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19.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.7%1st Place
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20.23University of California at San Diego-1.660.7%1st Place
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20.08Arizona State University-1.530.4%1st Place
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13.17California Poly Maritime Academy0.032.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 24.3% | 22.6% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| John Alexander | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Crager | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marcus Leitner | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| David Spector | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Noah Barton | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.7% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 12.3% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 20.3% |
| Karl McCombie | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.0% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 19.4% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 16.2% |
| Charles Bedford | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.