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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.89+5.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.98+6.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.68+8.16vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.77-0.66vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.03+8.45vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+2.72vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University1.59-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.03+5.51vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.52+1.66vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.99-4.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.12+3.00vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.07+1.03vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.43-1.60vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University0.06-1.02vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.48-7.84vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.74-5.60vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+2.76vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.15-3.46vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.69-2.01vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-0.58-2.88vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.28-1.71vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.66-1.44vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-3.57vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-1.63-3.85vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-1.53-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23California Poly Maritime Academy1.899.2%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Berkeley0.984.5%1st Place
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11.16University of California at San Diego0.682.7%1st Place
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3.34University of Southern California2.7725.8%1st Place
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13.45California Poly Maritime Academy0.031.8%1st Place
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8.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.0%1st Place
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6.51San Diego State University1.599.0%1st Place
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13.51University of California at Los Angeles-0.031.3%1st Place
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10.66University of California at San Diego0.523.3%1st Place
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5.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.9911.6%1st Place
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14.0University of California at Irvine-0.121.2%1st Place
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13.03University of California at Davis0.072.2%1st Place
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11.4University of California at Los Angeles0.432.9%1st Place
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12.98San Diego State University0.061.8%1st Place
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7.16University of California at Los Angeles1.487.8%1st Place
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10.4Arizona State University0.743.0%1st Place
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19.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.430.3%1st Place
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14.54University of California at San Diego-0.151.8%1st Place
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16.99University of California at Santa Cruz-0.691.1%1st Place
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17.12University of California at Davis-0.581.2%1st Place
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19.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.280.6%1st Place
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20.56University of California at San Diego-1.660.1%1st Place
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19.43University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.9%1st Place
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20.15University of California at Davis-1.630.2%1st Place
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20.0Arizona State University-1.530.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 25.8% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bedford | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Buckner | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Alexander | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amir Tadros | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Crager | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 14.5% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Marcus Leitner | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Karl McCombie | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 20.9% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% |
| Nicole Pavlovich | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 18.4% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.