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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.61+7.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.17+4.08vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.99+3.86vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+1.90vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.00+4.98vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.84+1.12vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.31-1.51vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-2.40vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.64-1.20vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.64+4.23vs Predicted
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11University of Washington3.09-1.06vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-4.69vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine3.43-4.57vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.24-4.98vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.82-1.34vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.25-3.37vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame1.25-2.00vs Predicted
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18University of Saint Thomas-1.92-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.98SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.12Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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5.49Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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5.6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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7.8Stanford University3.640.1%1st Place
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14.23Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Washington3.090.0%1st Place
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7.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.43University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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9.02Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Minnesota2.250.0%1st Place
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15.0University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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17.8University of Saint Thomas-1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Alkins | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Green | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stemler | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 26.1% | 23.2% | 1.7% |
| Felipe Lopez | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 18.0% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Thompson | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 40.8% | 3.6% |
| Ann Owen | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 93.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.