← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+2.51vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California0.38+6.95vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+2.12vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego1.38+2.94vs Predicted
-
5San Diego State University-0.27+7.47vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-0.08+0.21vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.32+2.73vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-0.80vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University0.18+1.23vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-0.19+1.92vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley0.98-4.00vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-1.75vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.27-0.65vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-1.43+3.28vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+2.41vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-1.98vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-2.03+2.83vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-1.66+0.39vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-3.24vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego-1.72-1.26vs Predicted
-
21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.07-1.14vs Predicted
-
22Arizona State University-0.41-9.11vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Irvine-2.19-2.50vs Predicted
-
24Arizona State University-1.53-6.20vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Davis-2.20-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.51California Poly Maritime Academy2.0723.1%1st Place
-
8.95University of Southern California0.385.0%1st Place
-
5.12California Poly Maritime Academy1.6213.6%1st Place
-
6.94University of California at San Diego1.387.6%1st Place
-
12.47San Diego State University-0.272.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of California at San Diego-0.088.5%1st Place
-
9.73University of California at Los Angeles0.324.1%1st Place
-
7.2California Poly Maritime Academy0.917.2%1st Place
-
10.23San Diego State University0.182.8%1st Place
-
11.92University of California at Davis-0.192.5%1st Place
-
7.0University of California at Berkeley0.988.5%1st Place
-
10.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.274.5%1st Place
-
12.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.272.1%1st Place
-
17.28University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.9%1st Place
-
17.41University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.4%1st Place
-
14.02University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.2%1st Place
-
19.83University of California at Davis-2.030.7%1st Place
-
18.39University of California at San Diego-1.660.6%1st Place
-
15.76University of California at Los Angeles-1.030.8%1st Place
-
18.74University of California at San Diego-1.720.7%1st Place
-
19.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.070.4%1st Place
-
12.89Arizona State University-0.411.7%1st Place
-
20.5University of California at Irvine-2.190.3%1st Place
-
17.8Arizona State University-1.530.8%1st Place
-
20.64University of California at Davis-2.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Collins | 23.1% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenny Moats | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Gargiulo | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.3% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% |
| samson grunwald | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% |
| Sara Moore | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Calli Genest | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 18.1% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.