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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.76+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.22+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.72+2.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.94+1.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.57-2.62vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.24vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.09-0.02vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-1.69vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.7632.5%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.2219.7%1st Place
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3.47University of Hawaii1.0916.4%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Los Angeles-0.722.7%1st Place
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4.09University of California at Berkeley0.7412.6%1st Place
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7.41University of California at San Diego-0.941.8%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Santa Barbara0.579.0%1st Place
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6.76University of California at San Diego-0.702.9%1st Place
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8.98Arizona State University-2.090.9%1st Place
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8.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.611.2%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlin Chan | 32.5% | 24.6% | 20.0% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 19.7% | 19.4% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 16.4% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Olsen | 12.6% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 19.8% | 13.2% | 3.8% |
| harriet jessup | 9.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 20.9% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 18.9% | 31.4% | 20.7% |
| Chloe Schofield | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 22.4% | 23.5% | 11.2% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 17.4% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.