← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego-0.08+5.07vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+5.24vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego1.38+3.98vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.03vs Predicted
-
5California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-1.52vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California0.38+3.03vs Predicted
-
7San Diego State University0.18+3.30vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+9.39vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.02vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles0.32-0.40vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-0.19+1.08vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University-0.27+0.22vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+2.67vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-3.87vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-0.75vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-1.72+2.54vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-1.43+0.59vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University-0.41-5.16vs Predicted
-
19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.27-6.68vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Irvine-2.19+0.31vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Davis-2.03-1.12vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-1.66-3.43vs Predicted
-
23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.07-2.97vs Predicted
-
24Arizona State University-1.53-6.09vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Davis-2.20-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.07University of California at San Diego-0.0811.1%1st Place
-
7.24California Poly Maritime Academy0.917.7%1st Place
-
6.98University of California at San Diego1.387.2%1st Place
-
5.03California Poly Maritime Academy1.6213.5%1st Place
-
3.48California Poly Maritime Academy2.0724.4%1st Place
-
9.03University of Southern California0.384.0%1st Place
-
10.3San Diego State University0.182.4%1st Place
-
17.39University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.7%1st Place
-
6.98University of California at Berkeley0.987.1%1st Place
-
9.6University of California at Los Angeles0.324.0%1st Place
-
12.08University of California at Davis-0.192.6%1st Place
-
12.22San Diego State University-0.272.2%1st Place
-
15.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.030.9%1st Place
-
10.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.273.1%1st Place
-
14.25University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.6%1st Place
-
18.54University of California at San Diego-1.720.5%1st Place
-
17.59University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.6%1st Place
-
12.84Arizona State University-0.411.4%1st Place
-
12.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.272.5%1st Place
-
20.31University of California at Irvine-2.190.2%1st Place
-
19.88University of California at Davis-2.030.6%1st Place
-
18.57University of California at San Diego-1.660.5%1st Place
-
20.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.070.3%1st Place
-
17.91Arizona State University-1.530.7%1st Place
-
20.53University of California at Davis-2.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Reuter | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 24.4% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenny Moats | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Gargiulo | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Calli Genest | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 19.6% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 15.3% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Sara Moore | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 16.0% |
| Gage Reitzel | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.