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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+2.51vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.76+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.22-0.64vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.72+1.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.74-1.93vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.25vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61+0.31vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.090.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.94-2.60vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of Hawaii1.0916.9%1st Place
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2.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.7634.2%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Santa Barbara0.579.4%1st Place
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3.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.2217.9%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.722.5%1st Place
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4.07University of California at Berkeley0.7411.9%1st Place
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6.75University of California at San Diego-0.703.0%1st Place
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8.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.611.3%1st Place
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9.0Arizona State University-2.090.7%1st Place
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7.4University of California at San Diego-0.942.1%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Carew | 16.9% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Chan | 34.2% | 24.2% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 17.9% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Katherine Olsen | 11.9% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 20.6% | 13.7% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Chloe Schofield | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 23.6% | 23.4% | 10.1% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 31.2% | 22.2% |
| McKenna Roonan | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 13.2% | 3.8% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 17.7% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.