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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.38+6.17vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+1.65vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-0.27+9.71vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.25+1.56vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.08+0.43vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+0.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+5.52vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.32+0.17vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+6.72vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-1.34vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.19-0.75vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.51-0.24vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University0.38-5.24vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.03+3.93vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.27-4.35vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.20+2.86vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.76-0.08vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-4.05vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.72-2.09vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-0.41-8.76vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-4.87vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.07-4.03vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine-2.19-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17University of California at San Diego1.387.9%1st Place
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3.65California Poly Maritime Academy2.0722.9%1st Place
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12.71San Diego State University-0.272.2%1st Place
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5.32California Poly Maritime Academy1.6212.2%1st Place
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6.56University of Southern California1.257.9%1st Place
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6.43University of California at San Diego-0.088.2%1st Place
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7.67California Poly Maritime Academy0.916.2%1st Place
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7.4University of California at Berkeley0.986.5%1st Place
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14.52University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.2%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Los Angeles0.324.2%1st Place
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17.72University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.5%1st Place
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10.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.274.0%1st Place
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12.25University of California at Davis-0.192.7%1st Place
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13.76University of California at San Diego-0.511.7%1st Place
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9.76San Diego State University0.383.7%1st Place
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19.93University of California at Davis-2.030.4%1st Place
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12.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.272.8%1st Place
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20.86University of California at Davis-2.200.1%1st Place
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18.92Arizona State University-1.760.4%1st Place
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15.95University of California at Los Angeles-1.031.2%1st Place
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18.91University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
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13.24Arizona State University-0.411.7%1st Place
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18.13University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.4%1st Place
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19.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.070.4%1st Place
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20.69University of California at Irvine-2.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
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Nicholas Dorn | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Kyle Collins | 22.9% | 19.9% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Casey Gignac | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Clay Myers | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Diya Correa | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Gabriel Reuter | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Conner Skewes | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Nate Ingebritson | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ryan Martin | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Ian Marshall | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Deven Douglas | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
Samuel Groom | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Nathaniel Holden | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Andrew Keller | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Fabio Schettino | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Shanay Patel | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 15.8% |
Gabriel Gargiulo | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Alexander Lewald | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 21.1% |
Daniel Childress | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
samson grunwald | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% |
Mitchell Powers | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Christopher Milan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
Sara Moore | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 15.4% |
Calli Genest | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.