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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.76+0.53vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.74+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+0.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.22-1.75vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.94+1.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.30vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.72-1.28vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-0.70vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.09-1.01vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of Hawaii1.0916.6%1st Place
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2.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.7631.4%1st Place
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4.16University of California at Berkeley0.7412.0%1st Place
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4.36University of California at Santa Barbara0.5710.8%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.2219.2%1st Place
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7.35University of California at San Diego-0.941.8%1st Place
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6.7University of California at San Diego-0.703.0%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.723.0%1st Place
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8.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.611.1%1st Place
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8.99Arizona State University-2.090.6%1st Place
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10.14University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Carew | 16.6% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlin Chan | 31.4% | 25.2% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 12.0% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 19.2% | 21.0% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 3.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| tess McMullin | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Chloe Schofield | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 20.9% | 24.6% | 10.7% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 17.8% | 32.6% | 20.7% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 17.9% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.