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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.38+6.40vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.25+3.45vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.38+5.78vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+2.62vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.19+6.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.08-0.53vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.27+4.74vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-3.71vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.27+2.60vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+3.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.98-4.55vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-2.41vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+3.67vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.32-4.92vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.03+3.76vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-1.07vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.41-4.67vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-1.12vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.76-0.72vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.07-0.84vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.72-2.89vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-2.19-2.38vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.20-3.15vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-0.51-11.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4University of California at San Diego1.388.1%1st Place
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3.6California Poly Maritime Academy2.0723.4%1st Place
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6.45University of Southern California1.258.8%1st Place
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9.78San Diego State University0.383.9%1st Place
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7.62California Poly Maritime Academy0.916.6%1st Place
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12.07University of California at Davis-0.192.8%1st Place
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6.47University of California at San Diego-0.087.3%1st Place
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12.74San Diego State University-0.271.8%1st Place
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5.29California Poly Maritime Academy1.6213.3%1st Place
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12.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.272.1%1st Place
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14.58University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.2%1st Place
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7.45University of California at Berkeley0.986.8%1st Place
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10.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.2%1st Place
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17.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.8%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Los Angeles0.323.9%1st Place
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19.76University of California at Davis-2.030.7%1st Place
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15.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.030.9%1st Place
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13.33Arizona State University-0.411.8%1st Place
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17.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.9%1st Place
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19.28Arizona State University-1.760.2%1st Place
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20.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.070.5%1st Place
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19.11University of California at San Diego-1.720.1%1st Place
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20.62University of California at Irvine-2.190.4%1st Place
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20.85University of California at Davis-2.200.3%1st Place
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13.65University of California at San Diego-0.511.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dorn | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 23.4% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fabio Schettino | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Clay Myers | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Gargiulo | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 14.5% |
| samson grunwald | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% |
| Sara Moore | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 16.7% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
| Calli Genest | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 19.4% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 21.9% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.