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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+3.36vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.76+0.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.22+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.72+2.85vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.94+2.51vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.75vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.74-2.98vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.09-4.63vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.09-0.05vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.97+0.08vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36University of California at Santa Barbara0.5710.1%1st Place
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2.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.7632.0%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara1.2217.6%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Los Angeles-0.722.1%1st Place
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7.51University of California at San Diego-0.941.8%1st Place
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6.75University of California at San Diego-0.702.9%1st Place
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4.02University of California at Berkeley0.7412.4%1st Place
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3.37University of Hawaii1.0919.1%1st Place
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8.95Arizona State University-2.090.8%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Santa Cruz-2.970.2%1st Place
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8.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.611.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| harriet jessup | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlin Chan | 32.0% | 27.0% | 18.2% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Aguirre | 17.6% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tess McMullin | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| McKenna Roonan | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 1.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 12.4% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 19.1% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 31.2% | 21.3% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 16.8% | 61.7% |
| Chloe Schofield | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 22.9% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.