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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.38+6.07vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.32+7.86vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+2.02vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-0.47vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.27+7.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.19+6.09vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.38+2.23vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98-0.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.08-2.78vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.27+2.48vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-0.72vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-4.79vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+1.24vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University0.18-3.59vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+2.66vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+0.07vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.43+0.86vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.72+0.99vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.51-5.60vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-0.41-6.90vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.03-1.17vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.76-2.76vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-2.19-2.43vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.07-3.88vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.20-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07University of California at San Diego1.387.6%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Los Angeles0.323.2%1st Place
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5.02California Poly Maritime Academy1.6214.0%1st Place
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3.53California Poly Maritime Academy2.0724.6%1st Place
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12.57San Diego State University-0.272.2%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Davis-0.192.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Southern California0.385.1%1st Place
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7.27University of California at Berkeley0.986.5%1st Place
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6.22University of California at San Diego-0.0810.4%1st Place
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12.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.272.3%1st Place
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10.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.273.2%1st Place
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7.21California Poly Maritime Academy0.916.8%1st Place
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14.24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.0%1st Place
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10.41San Diego State University0.183.2%1st Place
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17.66University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.4%1st Place
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16.07University of California at Los Angeles-1.030.8%1st Place
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17.86University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.9%1st Place
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18.99University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
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13.4University of California at San Diego-0.511.9%1st Place
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13.1Arizona State University-0.411.9%1st Place
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19.83University of California at Davis-2.030.3%1st Place
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19.24Arizona State University-1.760.3%1st Place
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20.57University of California at Irvine-2.190.4%1st Place
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20.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.070.3%1st Place
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20.66University of California at Davis-2.200.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 24.6% | 20.2% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Gargiulo | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Conner Skewes | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Kenny Moats | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| samson grunwald | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.3% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.6% |
| Calli Genest | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 19.1% |
| Sara Moore | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 17.2% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.