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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.38+8.03vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.08+3.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.38+3.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.19+7.21vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.62-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.32+1.94vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.27+3.69vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.27+2.45vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.91-3.72vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University0.18-1.46vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-2.60vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+3.77vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-0.71vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.03+3.95vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.51-3.57vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.72+0.89vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.43-1.28vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-2.19+0.49vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-5.30vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.07-1.77vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.76-3.95vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.20-3.32vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-0.41-11.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03University of Southern California0.385.1%1st Place
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3.52California Poly Maritime Academy2.0724.0%1st Place
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6.31University of California at San Diego-0.0810.0%1st Place
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7.08University of California at San Diego1.387.2%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Davis-0.192.1%1st Place
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5.19California Poly Maritime Academy1.6213.9%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Berkeley0.986.8%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Los Angeles0.323.5%1st Place
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12.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.272.1%1st Place
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12.45San Diego State University-0.272.1%1st Place
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7.28California Poly Maritime Academy0.917.6%1st Place
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10.54San Diego State University0.183.0%1st Place
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10.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.273.1%1st Place
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17.77University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.8%1st Place
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14.29University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.7%1st Place
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19.95University of California at Davis-2.030.3%1st Place
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13.43University of California at San Diego-0.511.8%1st Place
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18.89University of California at San Diego-1.720.3%1st Place
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17.72University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.8%1st Place
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20.49University of California at Irvine-2.190.4%1st Place
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15.7University of California at Los Angeles-1.031.1%1st Place
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20.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.070.2%1st Place
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19.05Arizona State University-1.760.3%1st Place
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20.68University of California at Davis-2.200.2%1st Place
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13.05Arizona State University-0.411.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Ansart | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 24.0% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Gargiulo | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Conner Skewes | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenny Moats | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 12.8% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Calli Genest | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 21.8% |
| samson grunwald | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Sara Moore | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 15.9% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 21.8% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.