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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.32+8.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.38+5.00vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.62+2.05vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.38+5.42vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+2.30vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.27+6.70vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.08-1.78vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.27+3.62vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.19+2.04vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.39+6.63vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-1.74vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-9.46vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University0.18-3.79vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.51-1.55vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.43+1.69vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.76+2.12vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-3.79vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.72+0.15vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.03-0.12vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-5.00vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.07-1.94vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-0.41-9.82vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-2.19-3.42vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.20-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.71University of California at Los Angeles0.324.1%1st Place
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7.0University of California at San Diego1.387.8%1st Place
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5.05California Poly Maritime Academy1.6214.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Southern California0.383.8%1st Place
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7.3California Poly Maritime Academy0.917.4%1st Place
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12.7San Diego State University-0.271.7%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Berkeley0.986.4%1st Place
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6.22University of California at San Diego-0.089.3%1st Place
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12.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.272.1%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Davis-0.192.5%1st Place
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17.63University of California at Los Angeles-1.390.5%1st Place
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10.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.273.8%1st Place
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3.54California Poly Maritime Academy2.0723.6%1st Place
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10.21San Diego State University0.184.0%1st Place
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13.45University of California at San Diego-0.512.1%1st Place
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17.69University of California at Los Angeles-1.430.8%1st Place
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19.12Arizona State University-1.760.5%1st Place
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14.21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.591.7%1st Place
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19.15University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
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19.88University of California at Davis-2.030.1%1st Place
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16.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.030.5%1st Place
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20.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.070.2%1st Place
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13.18Arizona State University-0.411.9%1st Place
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20.58University of California at Irvine-2.190.4%1st Place
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20.72University of California at Davis-2.200.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Marshall | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Skewes | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Gargiulo | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 23.6% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenny Moats | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Milan | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Daniel Childress | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
| Ryan Martin | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.3% |
| samson grunwald | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Sara Moore | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 15.7% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Calli Genest | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 19.2% |
| Alexander Lewald | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.