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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+1.85vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.83+5.88vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.56+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.27-0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.51+3.69vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+1.26vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.32+2.13vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.99-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.38-1.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.32-0.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.35-1.47vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.26-2.31vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.57-3.12vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.02-3.21vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.58-2.21vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Southern California2.7731.6%1st Place
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7.88Salve Regina University0.834.8%1st Place
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5.43University of Hawaii1.569.8%1st Place
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3.91University of Hawaii2.2716.9%1st Place
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8.69University of Washington0.513.6%1st Place
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7.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.3%1st Place
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9.13Salve Regina University1.323.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Hawaii0.995.2%1st Place
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7.56University of California at San Diego1.384.3%1st Place
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9.63University of California at Los Angeles0.322.8%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Berkeley0.353.1%1st Place
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9.69Western Washington University0.262.9%1st Place
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9.88University of Hawaii0.572.5%1st Place
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10.79University of Virginia0.021.9%1st Place
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12.79University of California at Davis-0.581.4%1st Place
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13.55University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 31.6% | 22.1% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Trey Summers | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.9% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 4.1% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 7.8% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 28.1% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 18.1% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.