← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+4.07vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.48+8.47vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.70+0.22vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.32+3.19vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego1.81+4.39vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+0.94vs Predicted
-
7California State University Monterey Bay0.50+7.28vs Predicted
-
8Santa Clara University2.22-0.21vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington2.25-1.70vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles0.82+3.07vs Predicted
-
12University of Victoria0.72+1.50vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.84-3.70vs Predicted
-
14California State University Monterey Bay0.50+0.28vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine0.90-2.44vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.85vs Predicted
-
17University of Southern California2.47-10.36vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis0.83-4.99vs Predicted
-
19Northwestern University1.28-7.77vs Predicted
-
20Western Washington University1.12-8.19vs Predicted
-
21University of Oregon0.46-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.07University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
-
10.47University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
-
3.22Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
-
7.19University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
-
9.39University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
-
6.94California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
-
14.28California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
-
7.79Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
-
7.3University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
-
13.07University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
-
13.5University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.840.0%1st Place
-
14.28California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
-
12.56University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
-
13.15University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
-
6.64University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
-
13.01University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
-
11.23Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
-
11.81Western Washington University1.120.0%1st Place
-
14.06University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 27.4% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Alison Gillum | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.