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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+1.97vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.32+7.06vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27+0.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.38+3.49vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.56+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.51+2.68vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.57+1.94vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.99-1.72vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.83-2.03vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.35-1.54vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.02-1.02vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.32-3.23vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.26-4.42vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.58-2.04vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Southern California2.7727.4%1st Place
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9.06Salve Regina University1.323.5%1st Place
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3.92University of Hawaii2.2718.6%1st Place
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7.49University of California at San Diego1.385.2%1st Place
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5.49University of Hawaii1.5611.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Washington0.513.6%1st Place
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7.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.136.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Hawaii0.572.5%1st Place
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7.28University of Hawaii0.995.6%1st Place
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7.97Salve Regina University0.834.3%1st Place
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9.46University of California at Berkeley0.353.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Virginia0.021.4%1st Place
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9.77University of California at Los Angeles0.322.5%1st Place
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9.58Western Washington University0.263.2%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Davis-0.580.8%1st Place
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13.23University of California at Santa Cruz-0.991.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 27.4% | 23.5% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Bastien Rasse | 18.6% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Trey Summers | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 8.6% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 21.3% | 28.3% |
| Grant Gravallese | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 17.2% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.