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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.32+7.86vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.27+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.99+4.08vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.77-1.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.38+2.26vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.57+3.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.32+2.44vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.83-0.31vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.56-3.47vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-3.06vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.35-1.78vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.51-3.55vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.60-0.04vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.58-1.39vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-1.72vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.02-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Salve Regina University1.324.5%1st Place
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3.8University of Hawaii2.2717.8%1st Place
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7.08University of Hawaii0.996.2%1st Place
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2.84University of Southern California2.7730.1%1st Place
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7.26University of California at San Diego1.385.3%1st Place
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9.57University of Hawaii0.572.5%1st Place
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9.44University of California at Los Angeles0.322.8%1st Place
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7.69Salve Regina University0.834.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Hawaii1.568.6%1st Place
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6.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.136.3%1st Place
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9.22University of California at Berkeley0.353.9%1st Place
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8.45University of Washington0.513.8%1st Place
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12.96Western Washington University-0.600.9%1st Place
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12.61University of California at Davis-0.580.9%1st Place
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13.28University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.4%1st Place
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10.46University of Virginia0.021.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Bastien Rasse | 17.8% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Hou | 30.1% | 23.5% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Trey Summers | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 20.4% | 27.3% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 22.7% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 32.8% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.