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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.83+6.51vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.99+5.31vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27+0.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.38+3.23vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.51+3.53vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.77-3.11vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.32+1.79vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.56-3.52vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.57-0.46vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.60+1.79vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.32-2.64vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.35-3.76vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.02-3.49vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-1.65vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.58-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Salve Regina University0.835.4%1st Place
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7.31University of Hawaii0.996.0%1st Place
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3.92University of Hawaii2.2718.8%1st Place
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7.23University of California at San Diego1.385.9%1st Place
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8.53University of Washington0.514.4%1st Place
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2.89University of Southern California2.7729.1%1st Place
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8.79Salve Regina University1.323.7%1st Place
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6.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.2%1st Place
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5.48University of Hawaii1.568.8%1st Place
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9.54University of Hawaii0.572.4%1st Place
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12.79Western Washington University-0.600.8%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Los Angeles0.323.0%1st Place
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9.24University of California at Berkeley0.353.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Virginia0.021.9%1st Place
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13.35University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.7%1st Place
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12.63University of California at Davis-0.580.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Bastien Rasse | 18.8% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Hou | 29.1% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Trey Summers | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 26.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 34.4% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.