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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+2.89vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.32+7.00vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.56+2.47vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.77-1.10vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.57+4.54vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.99+1.08vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.13vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.51+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.38-1.87vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.83-2.53vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.60+1.97vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.58+0.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.35-3.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.32-4.49vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-1.79vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.02-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89University of Hawaii2.2718.7%1st Place
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9.0Salve Regina University1.323.5%1st Place
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5.47University of Hawaii1.568.6%1st Place
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2.9University of Southern California2.7729.9%1st Place
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9.54University of Hawaii0.572.5%1st Place
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7.08University of Hawaii0.995.8%1st Place
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7.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.5%1st Place
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8.22University of Washington0.513.9%1st Place
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7.13University of California at San Diego1.386.6%1st Place
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7.47Salve Regina University0.835.1%1st Place
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12.97Western Washington University-0.600.7%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Davis-0.580.9%1st Place
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9.31University of California at Berkeley0.353.4%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Los Angeles0.322.5%1st Place
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13.21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.7%1st Place
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10.61University of Virginia0.021.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 18.7% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Trey Summers | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 29.9% | 22.7% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 27.7% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 22.3% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 32.1% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.