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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+2.99vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.77+0.92vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+4.01vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.51+4.28vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.60+7.89vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.32+3.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.38+0.26vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.83-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.56-3.60vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.99-2.94vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.57-1.45vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.32-2.47vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.58-0.37vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.35-4.87vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.02-4.50vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99University of Hawaii2.2717.5%1st Place
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2.92University of Southern California2.7728.6%1st Place
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7.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.5%1st Place
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8.28University of Washington0.513.7%1st Place
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12.89Western Washington University-0.600.9%1st Place
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9.03Salve Regina University1.323.1%1st Place
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7.26University of California at San Diego1.385.9%1st Place
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7.5Salve Regina University0.835.5%1st Place
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5.4University of Hawaii1.5610.7%1st Place
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7.06University of Hawaii0.995.4%1st Place
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9.55University of Hawaii0.572.6%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Los Angeles0.323.2%1st Place
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12.63University of California at Davis-0.580.9%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Berkeley0.353.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Virginia0.022.8%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 17.5% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 28.6% | 23.2% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 28.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.5% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Trey Summers | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 22.3% |
| Enzo Cremers | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.