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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.38+5.39vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.32+6.27vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.270.00vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.99+2.42vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.56-0.53vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.83+0.73vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-0.85vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.57+0.83vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.35-0.32vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.51-2.41vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.32-2.31vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.26-3.30vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.02-3.19vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.58-2.13vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Southern California2.7729.4%1st Place
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7.39University of California at San Diego1.385.9%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University1.322.8%1st Place
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4.0University of Hawaii2.2716.6%1st Place
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7.42University of Hawaii0.995.8%1st Place
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5.47University of Hawaii1.5610.3%1st Place
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7.73Salve Regina University0.835.1%1st Place
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7.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.9%1st Place
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9.83University of Hawaii0.572.4%1st Place
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9.68University of California at Berkeley0.352.9%1st Place
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8.59University of Washington0.514.0%1st Place
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9.69University of California at Los Angeles0.322.2%1st Place
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9.7Western Washington University0.262.8%1st Place
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10.81University of Virginia0.021.8%1st Place
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12.87University of California at Davis-0.581.1%1st Place
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13.51University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 29.4% | 22.3% | 18.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Bastien Rasse | 16.6% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Trey Summers | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Enzo Cremers | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 3.7% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.2% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 28.6% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 17.4% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.