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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.38+6.44vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.32+7.03vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27+0.89vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.77-1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.56+0.48vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.83+1.65vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.57+2.90vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-0.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.32+0.67vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.99-2.70vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.51-2.37vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.35-2.40vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.58-0.17vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.02-3.18vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-1.36vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.26-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44University of California at San Diego1.384.8%1st Place
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9.03Salve Regina University1.323.5%1st Place
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3.89University of Hawaii2.2718.9%1st Place
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2.94University of Southern California2.7728.5%1st Place
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5.48University of Hawaii1.569.8%1st Place
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7.65Salve Regina University0.836.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Hawaii0.573.0%1st Place
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7.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.4%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Los Angeles0.322.8%1st Place
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7.3University of Hawaii0.995.3%1st Place
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8.63University of Washington0.513.8%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Berkeley0.352.4%1st Place
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12.83University of California at Davis-0.581.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Virginia0.022.0%1st Place
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13.64University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.4%1st Place
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9.87Western Washington University0.262.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dorn | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Bastien Rasse | 18.9% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Hou | 28.5% | 21.9% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Enzo Cremers | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 20.4% | 28.4% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 18.6% | 40.9% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.