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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.77+1.95vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.32+7.12vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.27+0.80vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.99+3.39vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.83+2.70vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.57+3.91vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.56-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.32+1.82vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.51-0.41vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-2.82vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.68-1.84vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.07-1.33vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.26-3.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.35-4.34vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.02-3.96vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Southern California2.7728.5%1st Place
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9.12Salve Regina University1.322.7%1st Place
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3.8University of Hawaii2.2718.9%1st Place
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7.39University of Hawaii0.995.9%1st Place
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7.7Salve Regina University0.834.9%1st Place
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9.91University of Hawaii0.572.9%1st Place
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5.62University of Hawaii1.569.2%1st Place
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9.82University of California at Los Angeles0.323.2%1st Place
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8.59University of Washington0.514.5%1st Place
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7.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.136.6%1st Place
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9.16University of California at San Diego0.683.2%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Davis0.071.9%1st Place
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9.86Western Washington University0.262.6%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Berkeley0.352.6%1st Place
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11.04University of Virginia0.022.0%1st Place
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13.52University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Hou | 28.5% | 22.7% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Bastien Rasse | 18.9% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Hayden Lahr | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Trey Summers | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Noah Barton | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| Enzo Cremers | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 11.6% |
| Grant Gravallese | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.