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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+4.06vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.50+12.26vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.81+6.31vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70-0.85vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+2.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.48+4.40vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.32+0.22vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.72+4.29vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.25-2.64vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.50+3.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.96vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.84-4.68vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.28-3.91vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis0.83-2.79vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.12-5.19vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine0.90-5.27vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University2.22-11.45vs Predicted
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20University of Oregon0.46-5.54vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.82-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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14.26California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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9.31University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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3.15Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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7.14California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
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7.22University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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13.29University of Victoria0.720.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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14.26California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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9.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.840.0%1st Place
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11.09Northwestern University1.280.0%1st Place
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13.21University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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11.81Western Washington University1.120.0%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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7.55Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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14.46University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Los Angeles0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 26.7% | 21.1% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 0.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Stege | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Alison Gillum | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Anderson | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wood | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Parker | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.