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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.21+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria2.65+0.99vs Predicted
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3University of Puget Sound0.55+3.51vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.79+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.69-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound1.26-1.59vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.20-4.19vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.76-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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2.99University of Victoria2.650.3%1st Place
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6.51University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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4.52University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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3.81Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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4.41University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGrath | 17.1% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Neil Hawkes | 25.6% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| John Elam | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 17.7% | 48.8% |
| Robert Berry | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 7.2% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 9.1% |
| Mike Knape | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 20.7% | 20.2% |
| Casey Pruitt | 16.0% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Fuller | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.