Race 6B

john-quinn

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kevin Ryan 16.3% 20.2% 26.2% 18.7% 11.5% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jonathan Wittick 38.8% 29.9% 19.3% 8.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew McCarvill 3.9% 5.8% 8.5% 16.9% 17.4% 15.8% 14.5% 8.9% 5.9% 2.4%
Charlotte Shaw 2.7% 3.6% 5.4% 8.2% 14.0% 16.2% 15.3% 14.1% 12.8% 7.8%
Alexander Salzberg 30.3% 27.7% 23.2% 12.4% 4.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Morgan Griffith 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 6.8% 9.0% 11.8% 13.2% 14.0% 16.4% 22.4%
Cooper Bennett 1.8% 3.1% 4.3% 8.6% 11.8% 13.9% 12.2% 16.4% 15.2% 12.8%
Joseph Arrigo 1.2% 1.9% 3.1% 5.3% 8.2% 10.5% 13.0% 14.1% 18.9% 23.8%
George Wood 2.0% 2.8% 3.8% 7.8% 11.2% 12.0% 14.8% 16.0% 14.7% 14.9%
Tyler Needham 1.5% 2.9% 3.4% 7.3% 8.9% 12.5% 15.3% 16.2% 16.0% 16.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.